Progression to HE Data Insights

Insights

Every year we receive data from the Higher Education Statistics Agency (HESA) in relation to the learners GHWY has engaged with through Uni Connect (and some learners in control groups). This enables us to analyse relationships between learners’ engagement in our programmes and their progression to higher education.  From this analysis we identify trends and generate insights about the impact and efficacy of our programmes.

The latest version of our progression to HE analysis is available below.

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Higher Progression Rates for GHWY Cohort

  • GHWY participants had higher rates of progression to higher education (HE) compared to the national and regional averages.
  • In 2018-2020, GHWY progression rates were significantly higher than all control groups, including a weighted national average and non-participants recorded on HEAT.

Graph Highlight: Figure 1Progression to HE over time.

  • The orange line (GHWY cohort) consistently outperformed national and regional comparisons.

Impact on POLAR Quintile 1 Students

  • GHWY activities had a particularly strong effect on learners from areas with historically low HE participation (POLAR Quintile 1), tripling their likelihood of progressing to HE.

Graph Highlight: Figure 2Progression rate to HE by POLAR Quintile.

  • POLAR 1 learners in the GHWY cohort had a 39% progression rate compared to 30% nationally.

Activity Type Influence

  • Activities like HE subject insight, summer schools, and non-student activities had the highest progression rates.
  • Skills & attainment and mentoring activities showed lower progression rates.

Graph Highlight: Figure 3Progression rate to HE by outreach activity type.

  • HE subject insight had the highest rate, while skills & attainment varied by subcategories.

Participation Intensity Boosts Progression

  • Students participating in multiple GHWY outreach activities showed a higher likelihood of progressing to HE.
  • Each additional activity increased the probability of progression by about 20%.

Graph Highlight: Figure 4Progression rate to HE by number of activities.

  • More activities led to higher progression rates, with a substantial jump for those engaging in four or more.