Progression to HE Data Insights
Higher Progression Rates for GHWY Cohort
- GHWY participants had higher rates of progression to higher education (HE) compared to the national and regional averages.
- In 2018-2020, GHWY progression rates were significantly higher than all control groups, including a weighted national average and non-participants recorded on HEAT.
Graph Highlight: Figure 1 – Progression to HE over time.
- The orange line (GHWY cohort) consistently outperformed national and regional comparisons.
Impact on POLAR Quintile 1 Students
- GHWY activities had a particularly strong effect on learners from areas with historically low HE participation (POLAR Quintile 1), tripling their likelihood of progressing to HE.
Graph Highlight: Figure 2 – Progression rate to HE by POLAR Quintile.
- POLAR 1 learners in the GHWY cohort had a 39% progression rate compared to 30% nationally.
Activity Type Influence
- Activities like HE subject insight, summer schools, and non-student activities had the highest progression rates.
- Skills & attainment and mentoring activities showed lower progression rates.
Graph Highlight: Figure 3 – Progression rate to HE by outreach activity type.
- HE subject insight had the highest rate, while skills & attainment varied by subcategories.
Participation Intensity Boosts Progression
- Students participating in multiple GHWY outreach activities showed a higher likelihood of progressing to HE.
- Each additional activity increased the probability of progression by about 20%.
Graph Highlight: Figure 4 – Progression rate to HE by number of activities.
- More activities led to higher progression rates, with a substantial jump for those engaging in four or more.